MACROECONOMICS:
A General Overview
Finance is
based on economics.
Therefore, to properly
understand financial markets and
their behavior one must first
understand economics.
Economics at its core is
concerned with the production,
distribution, trade and
consumption of goods and
services. To put
this in human terms we can say
that economics is the science
that arises out of the interplay
between limited resources and
unlimited human wants and needs.
There are two basic ways to view economics.
There is the broad and distant
view, which attempts to view
things in aggregate for a
society at large. We
call this view “Macroeconomics”.
Macroeconomics is concerned with
the status of the economy as a
whole. Thus, it looks at
overall employment of a general
population or overall income of
a nation as opposed to a more
focused view of a population
segment or specific industry.
This view is helpful because it
is only by this kind of analysis
that we can see the general
trends which a society or nation
is following.
Macroeconomic theory and
analysis is employed most often
by Governments and institutions,
which have a responsibility to
make policies and decisions
which affect the economy as a
whole.
Some terms you may have heard of which concern themselves with the macroeconomic view of the economy are Gross National Product, Inflation, Consumer Price Index and Fiscal Policy. The meaning of each of these is listed below.
Gross National Product – This is the most common measure of economic productivity for an aggregate population. GNP is defined as the total value of all goods and services produced in final form during a specific period of time (usually 1 year).
Inflation – Inflation is defined as a condition of generally increasing prices. The term used for measuring these prices can vary according to the desires of the individual, government or institution doing the evaluation.
Consumer Price Index – The CPI is a measure of how much prices have increased or decreased as compared to a baseline years prices. The prices used in arriving at this figure are standard goods and services determined by the evaluator. Thus, the CPI for the United States might vary greatly as compared the CPI for a country from the Middle East.
Fiscal Policy – Fiscal Policy is essentially the manner in which a government achieves economic objectives through government spending and taxation. Fiscal policy is the alternative to Monetary Policy.
Monetary Policy – Monetary Policy is essentially the practice of a government managing the supply of money to achieve economic objectives. The United States uses the Federal Reserve System to either increase or decrease the supply of money, which in turn effects the overall economic environment as a whole.
The principles of Macroeconomics are important in analyzing and understanding longer-term trends and aggregate market behavior. Therefore, for the individual managing his own portfolio it may be helpful to know the current fiscal policy and how it may affect the value of any government bond holdings. One of the ways the government will manage fiscal policy is to buy back these bonds or issue more depending on their objective. This is just one example of the way in which Macroeconomics affects the individual investor.
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